Arizona State, BYU, Texas Tech, and Utah all enter Week 14 with a path to the Big 12 title game, with multiple tiebreaker combinations still in play.
The race for the 2025 Edward Jones Big 12 Football Championship is heading into Week 14 with four teams still mathematically alive — and the paths to Arlington are as tangled as any stretch run in recent memory. Only Arizona State, BYU, Texas Tech, and Utah can still claim the conference’s second championship spot, and the league’s tiebreaker matrix is officially working overtime.
Here’s how each contender gets in:
BYU
The Cougars have the clearest path.
They clinch a Big 12 Championship berth with:
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A win over UCF, OR
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An Arizona State loss, OR
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A multi-team chaos scenario: BYU loss + Texas Tech loss + ASU win + Utah win
Texas Tech
The Red Raiders control their destiny more than most.
Tech clinches with:
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A win over West Virginia, OR
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An Arizona State loss
Arizona State
The Sun Devils need help, but they have several viable routes.
ASU clinches with:
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A win over Arizona + Texas Tech loss + Utah loss + BYU win, OR
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A win over Arizona + BYU loss + Utah loss, OR
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A win over Arizona + Texas Tech loss + BYU loss + Utah win
Utah
The Utes are still alive, but only in a perfect-storm scenario.
Utah clinches with:
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A win over Kansas + Texas Tech loss + Arizona State win + BYU win
Week 14 will determine everything, and the combinations suggest fans will be scoreboard-watching nonstop. Whether it’s BYU locking it up early, Texas Tech punching its ticket, or a full-on tiebreaker meltdown pushing Arizona State or Utah through, the path to Arlington remains wide open entering the final weekend.
The Big 12 has embraced chaos all season — and it’s saving the most dramatic chapter for last.







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