Tobias Harris is questionable with a knee injury tonight. This leaves the 76ers likely to play a two-man game between Simmons and Embiid. We’ve all seen the daily fantasy ceilings of these two players. Well, tonight they face a Golden State team that allows the second-most offensive rebounds in the league at an average of 10.7 per game. The 76ers are averaging 10 offensive rebounds per game themselves. Without Harris, the usage for Simmons and Embiid will go sky rocketing. Their matchups are as good as can be against Stephen Curry/Andrew Wiggins/Draymond Green/(anyone else fit to guard a 6’10 PG in Simmons) and Kevon Looney. Pointsbet.com has the 76ers favored by – 9 points with a 226 O/U. The Warriors recently lost to the 76ers on March 23rd, by a score of 108-98. Tobias Harris went off for 25 points in that matchup. Without Harris for tonight’s matchup, I fully expect an episode of the Simmons and Embiid show, starring Ben Simmons and Joel Embiid.
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Marcus Smart – Boston Celtics (vs. Chicago Bulls)
Kemba Walker, Jaylen Brown, and Jayson Tatum are all questionable tonight against the Chicago Bulls. Tatum is dealing with a small ankle injury, Brown remains questionable with an illness and Kemba Walker is also questionable with an illness. It’s important to check Boston’s confirmed starting lineup tonight before making any decisions. Marcus Smart could be a major GPP/cash play if all three Celtics are out. The Bulls are allowing their opponents to shoot 47.7% from beyond the arc (ranked fifth highest in the NBA). The Bulls are also allowing their opponents to average 8.4 steals per game and 5.2 blocks per game. These numbers are ranked fourth-highest and 11th highest in the NBA. Considering Chicago’s allowing a significant amount of steals, blocks, and a high three-point conversion percentage, Marcus Smart is the logical benefactor. Smart has averaged 36.1 minutes per game over his last five games. He’s also totaling 36.6 fantasy points per game over the same five-game span, shooting 45% from the field. Smart has reached “value” in five of his last six games yet his price remains at $6,700 on Draftkings (way too low). Make sure you check Boston’s confirmed lineups later tonight. But, assuming Brown, Tatum, and Walker are out, Marcus Smart becomes a must-play at mid-range salaries on YahooFantasy, DraftKings, and FanDuel.
Hamidou Diallo – Detroit Pistons (vs. Cleveland Cavaliers)
The Cavaliers are allowing 8.4 steals per game as well as 5.8 blocks per game so far this season. The Detroit Pistons actually exhibit similar numbers allowing their opponents to 7.8 steals per game and 5.8 blocks per game. The NBC Sports Edge NBA Optimizer has Diallo projected for 39.6 DraftKings points at a salary of $4,200. That’s crazy! Diallo has averaged 12.1 fantasy points per game over his last four games. With that said, he does carry a significant ceiling in the right matchup as we saw against the Portland Trailblazers and Toronto Raptors back on March 29th and 31st, where he totaled 43.0 and 36.25 FP. Tonight the Detroit Pistons will be without Cory Joseph, Dennis Smith Jr. Mason Plumlee, Wayne Ellington, Jerami Grant, Rodney McGruder, and Sekou Doumbouya. This leaves us with tons of value on this Detroit Pistons roster including Isaiah Stewart, Saddiq Bay, Josh Jackson, Frank Jackson, and more. Diallo will come off the bench and run Detroit’s second unit. Diallo has been seeing 17 to 19 minutes per game as of late but considering Detroit injuries tonight, I cannot see him playing anywhere under 24 minutes. For NBA daily fantasy success all we’re looking for is time spent on the court (at low salaries and hopefully low ownership). The Detroit Pistons are underdogs by +2.5 points with a 213 over under
Other SF Options: Kent Bazemore – Golden State Warriors (vs. Philadelphia 76ers)
Saddiq Bey – Detroit Pistons (vs. Cleveland Cavaliers)
The Pistons will be without all five of their normal starters tonight against the Cleveland Cavaliers. This opens up major value for Bey, Stewart, Jackson, and more. Bey should match up against Kevin Love. Love has been back and forth from injury, I simply don’t think he can defend a 22-year-old first-round pick anymore. When Bey is active and has the freedom to shoot, his potential is massive. Saddiq is averaging 27.4 DK points over an average of 32.1 MPG throughout his last five games. That is a significant amount of time on the court and fantasy production for a salary of $5,300 on DraftKings, $5,200 on FanDuel, and $18 on YahooFantasy. Remember, Detroit will be without their entire normal starting lineup for tonight’s matchup. Invest in Saddiq Bey, Isaiah Stewart, and Josh Jackson confidently against the Cleveland Cavaliers for all DFS formats.
Other PF Option: JaMychal Green – Denver Nuggets (vs. Memphis Grizzlies)
Nikola Jokic – Denver Nuggets (vs. Memphis Grizzlies)
I already mentioned my love for Joel Embiid and Ben Simmons so to not be repetitive I figured I’d talk about Nikola Jokic. Jokic is projected for 59.9 DK points for tonight’s matchup against the Grizzlies. Memphis is coming into this game with two big wins in a row against the Bulls and Bucks. A Jamal Murray-less Denver team is next on their list. Jokic will need to perform extremely well tonight (and going forward) in order for the Nuggets to continue their momentum going into the playoffs. A player like Jokic needs his teammates to play well in order for him to truly excel. One player, in particular, that I am expecting to play well tonight is Facundo Campazzo (with Monte Morris out). Both Campazzo and Jokic are fine plays against a Memphis Grizzlies team that currently has injuries of their own to worry about. Campazzo and Jokic are great correlation plays, meaning they play well off of one another. This results in the two accumulating points together (off of the assist). The Nuggets are – 7.5 point favorites with a 226.5 O/U Courtesy of Pointsbet.com.
Other C Option: Isaiah Stewart – Detroit Pistons (vs. Cleveland Indians)